đź’°Warren Buffett: How to Analyze an Income Statement


Hey Reader,
​
From the oops category: In 2002, Hershey Foods almost accidentally sold itself. A sale sign was mistakenly left on during a routine software test, causing the stock to surge 25% before the error was caught and corrected. (That would have been a sweet sale, boo...)

In today's issue:

  • How to read an income statement like Warren Buffett (who doesn't want to know that?)
  • How to read a company's lifecycle and its impact on valuation.
  • How to calculate ROIC broken down
  • Don't fall in love with your stocks

đź’¸Sponsored by:

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đź’ŽNUGGETS

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My Favorite Finds

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Brian Feroldi shows us how to analyze an income statement like Warren Buffett would (great stuff).

Every company goes through a life cycle from young to over the hill, but precious few like Microsoft can remake themselves. Learn to spot the signs and how to value them. (of, course it's more Damodaran.)

Thomas Chua helps us understand why we shouldn't fall in love with our stocks.

The biggest investing question, what's it worth? Leandro breaks down some great ways to figure out the big question.

Peter Lynch, the legendary investor, laid down some golden rules to help us become better investors (still working on that.)

Terry Smith shared 10 Investing Lessons from Investing for Growth. Great book, great lessons.


🔍DEEP DIVE

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Breaking Down

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ROIC

Capital allocation is job number one for CEOs

How we can measure capital allocation?

Understanding ROIC is key.

​

Let’s learn more ⬇️

We will define the formula and inputs and briefly discuss why. Keep in mind that there are a gazillion ways to determine ROIC; this is my favorite.

“A company creates value when the present value of the cash flows from its investments are greater than the cost of the investments. In other words, one dollar invested in the business becomes worth more than one dollar in the market.”

Michael Mauboussin

ROIC helps investors measure how effectively management reinvests the one dollar to grow beyond the initial investment.

As with many metrics, the higher the better, and the longer the better.

It is one way to measure how well management effectively allocates capital.

So how do we calculate it?

ROIC = NOPAT Ă· Invested Capital

Where:

đź’¸NOPAT = Net operating profit after taxes

đź’µInvested Capital = The net assets necessary to generate the NOPAT

Let’s unpack NOPAT first, simplified.

NOPAT = EBIT x (1 - tax rate)

We can find both inputs on $MSFT’s income statement, with EBIT also equaling operating income.

đź’°EBIT = $83,383 million

⚖️Tax rate = 13.1%

COST NOPAT = 83,383 x (1-13.1%) = $72,459

Easy, now the fun part.

Now invested capital.

First, we have several ways to calculate invested capital. We can approach it from the operating or financing side. Each has its benefits. I like operating because it forces me to look deeper into operations.

Each to their own.

Invested capital from an operations approach.

Current assets - Non-interest bearing currrent liabilities = Net working capital

  • Net PP&E
  • Acquired Intangibles
  • Goodwill
  • Other assets

All of which gives us Invested capital.

We can find all of this on the balance sheet:

Net Working capital first​
+Accounts receivable - $44,261

+Inventory - $3,742

+Other current assets - $16,924

= Current assets of $64,927

Now current liabilities:

+Accounts payable = $19,000

+Accrued comp = $10,661

+Short-term income taxes = $4,067

+Short-term unearned rev = $43,538

+Other current liabilities = $13,067

= Current liabilities of $90,333

Net working capital = 64,927-90,333 = -25,406

Then we take the net working capital and add the other inputs:

+Net working capital = -25,406

+Net PP&E = 74,398

+Goodwill = 67,524

+Intangibles = 11,298

+Other assets = 21,897

Total Invested Captial = $148,711

Now we can put it all together to determine $MSFT ROIC

đź’¸NOPAT = $72,459 đź’°Invested Capital = $148,711

ROIC = $72,459 Ă· $148,711 = 48.7%


đź“–Knowledge Tidbits

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Thanks,
Dave Ahern
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